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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.46+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.94+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+1.93vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19-0.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+1.35vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.25-4.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.67-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Washington0.468.9%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.3524.2%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Berkeley0.9816.9%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Los Angeles0.9416.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.235.1%1st Place
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5.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.279.2%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Davis-0.194.7%1st Place
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9.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.5%1st Place
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7.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.474.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz-0.693.5%1st Place
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6.89University of Washington-0.254.9%1st Place
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10.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 24.2% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Wolf | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 22.4% | 25.8% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
| Henry Stier | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.