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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+6.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+3.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.64vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.05vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-3.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.08vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-3.93vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.96vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-3.75vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.67-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.58Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 8.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 10.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.