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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.32vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.77-3.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38-0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.44+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.58+1.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-5.27vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.44-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.08-2.31vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.27-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49University of California at Los Angeles1.488.8%1st Place
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4.13University of Hawaii2.2715.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.8%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.0%1st Place
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6.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California2.7729.6%1st Place
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6.8University of California at San Diego1.384.8%1st Place
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8.67University of Washington0.442.7%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.8712.8%1st Place
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7.83California State University Monterey Bay0.443.9%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Berkeley-0.081.4%1st Place
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10.13San Diego State University-0.271.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| David Alexander | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Hou | 29.6% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 40.8% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.