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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+4.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.64vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-3.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-0.24vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.18vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-4.68vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67+0.45vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-3.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.05-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.92Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.37Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.45Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 62.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.