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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.05vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.69vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+4.08vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+1.57vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-0.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+0.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-2.52vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-0.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.44vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.22vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-3.68vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.67-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 10.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 10.4% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.