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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44+6.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.36vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38-2.43vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.27+0.01vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.44-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.08-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Southern California2.7727.9%1st Place
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8.59University of Washington0.442.9%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.2717.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.7%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.4%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.7%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles1.4810.7%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.8710.8%1st Place
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6.57University of California at San Diego1.385.3%1st Place
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10.01San Diego State University-0.271.1%1st Place
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7.82California State University Monterey Bay0.443.3%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Berkeley-0.082.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 27.9% | 23.7% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 23.2% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 40.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.