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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+6.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+6.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+5.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+3.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.03vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-5.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-0.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.08vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-4.01vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.94vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.05-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.46Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.18Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.6Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 9.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 64.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.