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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.63vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+6.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+6.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.57vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-2.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-1.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+0.04vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-2.97vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-1.68vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.87vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-0.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.1Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.58Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 8.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 10.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 63.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.