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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.34+1.02vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.31+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.04+0.05vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.55-1.72vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.65-1.04vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.39+0.17vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.29-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Ohio State University0.6446.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Notre Dame-0.3418.2%1st Place
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5.83Western Michigan University-2.312.8%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan-1.048.8%1st Place
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3.28Michigan Technological University-0.5515.8%1st Place
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4.96Michigan State University-1.655.1%1st Place
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7.17Marquette University-3.390.7%1st Place
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5.78Michigan Technological University-2.292.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 46.2% | 28.8% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 18.2% | 23.8% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 27.7% | 16.1% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 15.8% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 16.8% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 61.8% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 28.1% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.