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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.62+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.51+6.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.07+4.02vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.81+3.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33-0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07-0.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63-4.75vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-3.36vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.26-2.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-1.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.05-3.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-9.99vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.65-4.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.70-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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7.99Maine Maritime Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.97Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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11.69University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Roesler | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| George Saunders | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| David Pierce | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 24.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| Philip Crain | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 29.2% |
| Ryan White | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.