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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.44+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.77-4.15vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.28vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.27+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.29vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.44-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii2.2715.5%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego1.385.3%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.7%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.8711.4%1st Place
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8.49University of Washington0.442.5%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.034.2%1st Place
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2.85University of Southern California2.7729.5%1st Place
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6.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.6%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Los Angeles1.487.6%1st Place
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10.03San Diego State University-0.271.4%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Berkeley-0.081.8%1st Place
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7.81California State University Monterey Bay0.444.3%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 15.5% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| David Alexander | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 7.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Hou | 29.5% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 23.4% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| Liam Patrick | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.