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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+6.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+2.99vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+1.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-2.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75+0.94vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05+0.19vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.67+2.45vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-1.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-5.54vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-6.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.19Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.45Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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12.2Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.46Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 9.6% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 65.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 9.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.