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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.14vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.48vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.08+1.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.38-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-1.65vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.44-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-1.18vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.27-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Southern California2.7726.9%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.5%1st Place
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4.33University of Hawaii2.2714.8%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.9%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.8710.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Los Angeles1.487.4%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Cruz1.032.9%1st Place
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5.58California Poly Maritime Academy1.899.8%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley-0.081.3%1st Place
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7.35University of California at San Diego1.385.2%1st Place
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9.35University of Washington0.443.1%1st Place
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8.69California State University Monterey Bay0.443.0%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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10.96San Diego State University-0.271.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 26.9% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alexander | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Liam Patrick | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 39.4% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.