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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+4.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.60vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+2.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05+3.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-1.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-0.91vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.50vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.94vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.62Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Sky Adams | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 9.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 63.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.