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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+7.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.04vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+1.41vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+0.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05+0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-2.67vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.04Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.15Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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4.72Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.33Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.6Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 9.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 9.7% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 65.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.