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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+5.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+2.97vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53+1.85vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75+0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.87vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-1.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-0.58vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-1.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-5.98vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.71vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.97Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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4.78Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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14.68Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 10.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.