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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+8.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.82vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+5.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.47vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+4.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.43vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.46vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.67vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-3.03vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-4.81vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.09Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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4.57Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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14.6Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 64.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.