Race 12A

penbay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Kelleher 10.5% 8.4% 11.1% 9.8% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 8.2% 6.4% 6.0% 5.5% 4.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
Bernie Roesler 13.7% 12.8% 11.3% 11.9% 10.4% 9.0% 6.7% 7.2% 5.2% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 9.5% 8.3% 7.3% 6.9% 5.7% 4.4% 1.9%
Christopher Poole 5.2% 5.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.7% 6.5% 8.9% 6.2% 8.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 5.3% 2.9%
Sean Andrew 4.0% 5.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 7.0% 7.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.6% 9.1% 10.9% 9.3% 8.5% 7.0%
Ryan White 4.4% 5.0% 6.0% 5.8% 4.5% 6.2% 6.7% 9.4% 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 8.0% 6.1% 7.3% 3.0%
Guttorm Straume 2.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 3.6% 5.1% 5.2% 6.8% 8.8% 12.1% 15.1% 23.3%
Daniel Perkins 13.3% 12.1% 11.2% 11.6% 8.2% 10.1% 7.2% 7.7% 6.9% 4.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Christopher Edwards 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 4.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 5.2% 6.1% 6.0% 9.2% 12.0% 16.0% 27.1%
Stephen Byrne 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 6.4% 8.3% 6.8% 9.3% 10.3% 14.4% 17.0%
Weston Barlow 7.2% 7.2% 8.2% 8.2% 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 7.9% 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4.1% 1.1%
David Pierce 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 9.5% 12.2% 13.4% 11.4%
Jeff Goodrich 5.1% 6.5% 5.8% 5.6% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6%
George Saunders 6.7% 6.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.8% 9.9% 7.7% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 5.9% 4.0% 3.2% 1.2%
Philip Crain 14.6% 15.7% 12.1% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 7.5% 6.3% 4.8% 4.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.