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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.34+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.04+2.04vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.31+2.89vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.64-2.12vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.55-1.76vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.65-1.03vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.29-1.15vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.39-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Notre Dame-0.3417.9%1st Place
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4.04University of Michigan-1.048.9%1st Place
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5.89Western Michigan University-2.312.2%1st Place
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1.88Ohio State University0.6448.8%1st Place
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3.24Michigan Technological University-0.5514.3%1st Place
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4.97Michigan State University-1.654.8%1st Place
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5.85Michigan Technological University-2.292.4%1st Place
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7.11Marquette University-3.390.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Molinsky | 17.9% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 29.6% | 14.9% |
| Emma Hershey | 48.8% | 27.3% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 14.3% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 5.6% |
| Astrid Myhre | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 27.3% | 16.9% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.1% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.