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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+7.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+0.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+0.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+1.79vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41+0.78vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-5.07vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-5.84vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.49-0.24vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-3.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-5.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.91vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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4.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.76Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.09Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.61Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lord | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 30.9% | 20.3% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.