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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+6.72vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+2.43vs Predicted
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31.55-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.63+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.81-2.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+1.70vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.45vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-1.03vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.593.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Washington0.7413.1%1st Place
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2.791.5529.4%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.067.9%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Los Angeles0.116.9%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley-0.633.8%1st Place
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4.17University of Washington0.8114.7%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.8%1st Place
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5.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.268.8%1st Place
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10.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.801.4%1st Place
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6.63University of California at San Diego-0.155.6%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Davis-2.030.9%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Martin | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 29.4% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Linnea Jackson | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Max Lawall | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| Florence Duff | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 32.2% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 37.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.