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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+5.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.96vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+4.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+2.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-1.92vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.31vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-1.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.94vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.20+1.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.11vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.49-3.27vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.67Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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15.53Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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12.73Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.06Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 57.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Julia Lord | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 28.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.