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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+3.97vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+4.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97-0.43vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-2.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.63-1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-3.87vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.31vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.49-0.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-3.68vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.14vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.08Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.83Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.03Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.61Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Abby Preston | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Julia Lord | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 11.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 27.9% | 23.7% |
| Camille Matile | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.