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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.64+6.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+2.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+4.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.59+3.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.90+1.20vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.72vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-4.81vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.30+1.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.39-0.16vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.81-2.37vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-10.72vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.60vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.43-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Dartmouth College4.050.2%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.19Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.9Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.63University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University4.080.2%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.8Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| John Giuliano | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Tripp Cashel | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| David Alfonso | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 32.8% |
| Marshall McLean | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 31.2% |
| Neal Drake | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| William Haeger | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Graef | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 4.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.