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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+5.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+3.77vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+8.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-1.21vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-1.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29+0.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-0.76vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.20+3.55vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-4.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-8.28vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.49-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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14.28Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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15.55Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.85Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Abby Preston | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 30.0% | 24.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 18.2% | 57.4% |
| Camille Matile | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Julia Lord | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.