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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+3.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+3.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-0.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-4.15vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.54vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+2.20vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-2.34vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-7.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.49-2.01vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.58-6.14vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.20-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.2Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.99Harvard University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.74Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Preston | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 28.9% | 24.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lord | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 9.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 19.0% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.