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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.81+2.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.55-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+1.60vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+1.37vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.14vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-5.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.03-1.21vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.19-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44University of California at San Diego-0.156.5%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.8114.9%1st Place
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2.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.5531.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley-0.564.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Santa Cruz-0.175.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Washington0.7414.3%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Barbara0.065.9%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.5%1st Place
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10.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.800.9%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Los Angeles0.116.6%1st Place
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5.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.267.5%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Davis-2.030.7%1st Place
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11.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.191.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 31.0% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| karl zoghbi | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 11.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 21.1% |
| Linnea Jackson | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 24.3% | 28.7% |
| Mason James | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.