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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.31+0.34vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.31+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.04+0.19vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.29+0.89vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.65-1.04vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.55-3.62vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.39-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Ohio State University0.6438.8%1st Place
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2.34University of Notre Dame0.3130.5%1st Place
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6.0Western Michigan University-2.311.9%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan-1.047.8%1st Place
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5.89Michigan Technological University-2.291.9%1st Place
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4.96Michigan State University-1.654.9%1st Place
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3.38Michigan Technological University-0.5513.4%1st Place
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7.16Marquette University-3.390.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 38.8% | 31.3% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cyrul | 30.5% | 30.3% | 20.9% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 30.0% | 17.3% |
| Connor Caplis | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Astrid Myhre | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 23.2% | 27.5% | 16.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 5.1% |
| Gavin Parsons | 13.4% | 15.3% | 25.9% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.