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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.51+1.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20-0.17vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73-0.76vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.28vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.69-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston3.200.4%1st Place
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2.24Eckerd College2.730.3%1st Place
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3.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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4.76North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Hartman | 22.5% | 27.2% | 34.2% | 14.6% | 1.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 44.2% | 33.2% | 18.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 28.4% | 31.4% | 29.1% | 10.4% | 0.7% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.2% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 59.8% | 13.9% |
| Paulina Spencer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 11.8% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.