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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+0.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.27vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.69-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston3.200.5%1st Place
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2.43University of South Florida2.510.2%1st Place
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2.23Eckerd College2.730.3%1st Place
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3.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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4.77North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 45.8% | 28.7% | 20.2% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 22.0% | 28.3% | 35.7% | 13.0% | 1.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 27.5% | 34.6% | 26.5% | 10.7% | 0.7% |
| Kailey Savacool | 4.0% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 59.3% | 14.4% |
| Paulina Spencer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 11.8% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.