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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.12vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.66+2.04vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.80+1.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.81+0.29vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.09-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.53-2.24vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Florida Institute of Technology0.7341.1%1st Place
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4.04Rollins College-0.6610.0%1st Place
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4.23Embry-Riddle University-0.808.3%1st Place
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4.29Jacksonville University-0.818.5%1st Place
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2.97Rollins College0.0920.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Florida-0.5310.8%1st Place
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6.59Georgia Institute of Technology-3.061.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brendan Smucker | 41.1% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Herminio Agront | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 4.0% |
Tanner Cummings | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 24.4% | 5.1% |
Carter Miller | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 5.3% |
Jackson McGeough | 20.2% | 22.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
Meredith McIntosh | 10.8% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 2.2% |
Jared Williams | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.