Race 6 - saisa-women-championships | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

5

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Grace Lucas & Elizabeth Chambers

College of Charleston

3.20

+0.85

vs Predicted
2

Solvig Sayre & Lissa McClung

Eckerd College

2.73

+0.22

vs Predicted
3

Colleen Hartman & Ali Yarbrough

University of South Florida

2.51

-0.58

vs Predicted
4

Kailey Savacool & Skylar Barney

University of North Carolina at Wilmington

1.04

-0.27

vs Predicted
6

Paulina Spencer & Annalisa Kristoffersen

North Carolina State University

-0.69

-1.23

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.85

Grace Lucas & Elizabeth Chambers

College of Charleston

3.20

0.4%

1st Place
2.22

Solvig Sayre & Lissa McClung

Eckerd College

2.73

0.3%

1st Place
2.42

Colleen Hartman & Ali Yarbrough

University of South Florida

2.51

0.2%

1st Place
3.73

Kailey Savacool & Skylar Barney

University of North Carolina at Wilmington

1.04

0.0%

1st Place
4.77

Paulina Spencer & Annalisa Kristoffersen

North Carolina State University

-0.69

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5
Grace Lucas	44.5%	31.0%	19.2%	5.2%	0.1%
Solvig Sayre	28.7%	30.5%	31.5%	8.5%	0.8%
Colleen Hartman	22.1%	29.7%	33.1%	14.2%	0.9%
Kailey Savacool	3.8%	8.1%	13.9%	59.7%	14.5%
Paulina Spencer	0.9%	0.7%	2.3%	12.4%	83.7%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.