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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.00vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+9.93vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.60vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+4.90vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+4.36vs Predicted
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63.24+2.52vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28+5.28vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.73vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-2.80vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55+1.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.74vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.71-1.03vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.46-1.55vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.07vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-3.14vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-8.44vs Predicted
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17Penn State University1.37-1.72vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-12.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.523.240.1%1st Place
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12.28Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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6.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.47Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.97Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.45Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.93SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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11.86Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.28Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 44.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.