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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.43vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.99vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+7.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.74vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+0.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.35vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+2.08vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.72vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-0.46vs Predicted
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133.24-4.76vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-2.65vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.86vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.28-3.68vs Predicted
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17Penn State University1.37-1.78vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.39Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.74University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.08Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.72Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.54Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.243.240.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.14SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.32Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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15.22Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 19.5% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Michael Grove | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 45.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.