← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+5.48vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+2.62vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.03vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University2.46+7.46vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.76vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University2.28+6.26vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.11+2.04vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.38+3.84vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo2.44+1.90vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University2.55+0.38vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia3.01-2.25vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.93vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University3.49-6.75vs Predicted
-
153.24-6.59vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.71-5.28vs Predicted
-
17Penn State University1.37-1.71vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-11.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
4.62Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.46Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
12.26Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
-
9.04Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
11.84Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.9University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
11.38Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
-
9.75University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.07SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.25George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.413.240.1%1st Place
-
10.72Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
15.29Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.59U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Nick Valente | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 44.8% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.