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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.42vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+9.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+3.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01+2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44+3.60vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.28+3.30vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.10vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.71-1.08vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-5.66vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-2.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.92vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-4.61vs Predicted
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173.24-8.41vs Predicted
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18Penn State University1.37-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.85Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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12.3Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.92Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.34George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.55Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.39Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.593.240.1%1st Place
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15.08Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Michael Grove | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.