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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.99vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.49vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+6.42vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+4.37vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.35+6.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.13vs Predicted
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93.24-0.58vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.46+1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-4.15vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.28-0.83vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-3.09vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-6.12vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-4.27vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-10.63vs Predicted
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18Penn State University1.37-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.49SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.42Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.03Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.423.240.1%1st Place
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11.84Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.17Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.91Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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15.07Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Michael Grove | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.