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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.95vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.70vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+6.86vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71+4.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.79vs Predicted
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83.24+0.37vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.21vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55+1.48vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-3.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-2.63vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.46-3.47vs Predicted
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16Penn State University1.37-0.73vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-7.83vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.28-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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11.86Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.64Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.373.240.1%1st Place
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9.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.48Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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11.53Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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15.27Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.19Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Can Akdurak | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 44.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.