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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.47vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.59vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.84vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+6.47vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71+4.57vs Predicted
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73.24+1.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01+0.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.44vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55+0.36vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-2.63vs Predicted
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15Hampton University2.28-2.77vs Predicted
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16Penn State University1.37-0.70vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.35-4.82vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-11.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.47Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.57Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.413.240.1%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.36Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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12.23Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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15.3Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.18Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.9% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Veronica Maccari | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 9.9% |
| Can Akdurak | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 45.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.