← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+5.38vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia3.01+7.65vs Predicted
-
3University of Buffalo2.44+8.92vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.04vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.72vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.10vs Predicted
-
7Washington College2.71+3.58vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.35+3.92vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University2.55+2.24vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University4.36-5.33vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University3.49-3.44vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.89vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.11-4.15vs Predicted
-
143.24-5.81vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.86vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University2.46-4.31vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University2.28-4.61vs Predicted
-
18Penn State University1.37-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.38Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.65University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
11.92University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
6.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.58Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.92Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.24Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
-
4.67Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
7.56George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.85Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.193.240.1%1st Place
-
9.14SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
-
11.69Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
-
12.39Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
-
15.05Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Michael Grove | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.