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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.37+14.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.20vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.99vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+4.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+0.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.13vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.30vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo2.44+0.83vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-0.35vs Predicted
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133.24-4.67vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.71-3.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.96vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.28-3.62vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.46-5.26vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.35-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.2Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.35University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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6.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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11.65Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.333.240.1%1st Place
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10.32Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.38Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.74Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Can Akdurak | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 45.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Grove | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.