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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.43vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.75vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.44vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36-1.43vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+4.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.29vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo2.44+0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.87vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.46-1.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.11vs Predicted
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153.24-6.62vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-4.70vs Predicted
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17Penn State University1.37-1.74vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.28-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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11.97Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.54Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.43Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.383.240.1%1st Place
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11.3Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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15.26Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.13Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Michael Grove | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 45.5% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.