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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.47vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.57vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.37+10.96vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+3.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+0.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.25vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55+3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01+0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo2.44+1.90vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.82vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.71-2.49vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.28-1.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.90vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.46-4.33vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.35-4.83vs Predicted
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183.24-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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14.96Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.2Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.51Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.03Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.67Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.17Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.243.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Can Akdurak | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 42.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.