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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.40vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+9.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+1.59vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01+3.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.04vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35+2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.00vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.71-0.33vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.38vs Predicted
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143.24-5.84vs Predicted
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15Penn State University1.37+0.17vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.46-4.32vs Predicted
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17Hampton University2.28-4.58vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.55-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.4George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.98Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.67Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.163.240.1%1st Place
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15.17Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.68Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.42Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.05Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Michael Grove | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Can Akdurak | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 43.8% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Conor Cashel | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.