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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo2.44+7.52vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+2.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.21vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+4.99vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01+0.42vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.46+1.89vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.28+1.40vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.89vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-4.14vs Predicted
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143.24-5.86vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.71-4.46vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-4.67vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.70vs Predicted
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18Penn State University1.37-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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7.42George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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11.99Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.89Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.4Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.143.240.1%1st Place
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10.54Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.33Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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15.08Penn State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% |
| Veronica Maccari | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Can Akdurak | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.