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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89+5.24vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+6.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+5.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.01+4.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+4.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.23+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61-1.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-0.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+1.86vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.23+0.14vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.34-4.24vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-4.69vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.43-6.65vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.21-6.71vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.51vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.46-2.41vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.05-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8911.0%1st Place
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8.9Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.1012.4%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.184.5%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University1.015.2%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.0%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University1.235.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island1.618.5%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College0.054.8%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.462.4%1st Place
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12.14Northeastern University0.233.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University1.345.9%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.436.9%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University1.216.2%1st Place
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12.49Maine Maritime Academy0.412.5%1st Place
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15.59Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
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14.84Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Miles Williams | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.5% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Grant Adam | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Flores | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 35.9% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.