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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+8.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+6.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.23+6.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+9.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61+1.30vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-1.24vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.05+7.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89-2.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-0.97vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-0.53vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.05-2.53vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.50vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.34-5.50vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-5.65vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.46-0.46vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.23-5.07vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.21-8.74vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University1.01-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.183.9%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University1.266.3%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.235.9%1st Place
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13.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.461.8%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.435.3%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island1.618.0%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.1013.7%1st Place
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15.02Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8911.3%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.9%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College0.055.4%1st Place
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12.5Maine Maritime Academy0.412.6%1st Place
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8.5Brown University1.346.7%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
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15.54Bentley University-0.460.9%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University0.232.6%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University1.216.0%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University1.013.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| Jack Flores | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 27.7% |
| Crew Fritsch | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| Grant Adam | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 36.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.