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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+6.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+7.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+8.95vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.21+5.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89+1.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.23+3.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.18+1.46vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.34-0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16-0.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+1.98vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-6.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-2.45vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.13vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.26-6.01vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.05-6.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-7.92vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.46-2.29vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.05-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61University of Rhode Island1.617.5%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University1.015.3%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University0.232.9%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University1.215.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8911.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.234.8%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University1.436.9%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.185.1%1st Place
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8.39Brown University1.346.5%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.462.1%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University2.1012.8%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy0.412.4%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College0.055.4%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.8%1st Place
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15.71Bentley University-0.461.1%1st Place
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14.98Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Crew Fritsch | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Flores | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Edward Gary | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Grant Adam | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 36.1% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.