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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+2.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+5.99vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.54+4.89vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+3.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79+0.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.50+0.80vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-3.57vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-1.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.80-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.92-5.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.93-2.69vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.83-7.27vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.60-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.99Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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5.43Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.17Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.56University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.73Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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15.0Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 7.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 6.8% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 53.1% |
| Christina Baker | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.