Race 2A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Deana Fedulova 14.0% 15.6% 14.6% 13.5% 10.9% 10.3% 8.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Sophia Devling 31.5% 22.8% 18.1% 10.7% 7.8% 5.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Mason 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 9.8% 9.2% 11.8% 13.0% 15.8% 8.4%
Adra Ivancich 12.0% 13.7% 12.7% 12.0% 11.8% 11.3% 10.2% 6.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Sabrina Starck 11.0% 10.9% 12.8% 13.9% 11.6% 10.8% 9.6% 8.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Annika VanderHorst 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.9% 13.0% 10.9% 11.4% 9.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
Keelyn Brink 4.5% 5.5% 5.6% 7.2% 7.9% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 10.4% 12.3% 10.2% 5.9%
Esme Gonzalez 3.6% 3.9% 6.0% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 9.0% 10.8% 10.9% 12.3% 14.1% 10.0%
Nikita Troast 3.6% 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 12.4% 13.1% 12.7% 11.9% 6.5%
Sadie Yoder 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.5% 8.6% 10.9% 11.6% 13.8% 14.2% 8.1%
Nicole Ostapowicz 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 8.2% 7.6% 8.9% 10.0% 12.7% 11.9% 13.4% 8.8%
Gentry Schneider 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 7.1% 9.9% 14.6% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.