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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.01+8.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+6.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+5.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+2.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10-0.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+1.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+5.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26+0.03vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+0.29vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.23-1.45vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.21-2.96vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.23-0.93vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.05+1.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-5.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-6.81vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-4.31vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College0.05-8.83vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.46-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Roger Williams University1.015.3%1st Place
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8.54Brown University1.346.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8910.8%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island1.184.7%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island1.617.2%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University2.1012.2%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.435.5%1st Place
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13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.462.3%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.265.6%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University1.235.0%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.217.2%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University0.233.0%1st Place
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15.1Olin College of Engineering-0.051.5%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.165.2%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.3%1st Place
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12.69Maine Maritime Academy0.412.1%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College0.056.0%1st Place
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15.79Bentley University-0.460.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hosek | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Grant Adam | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Miles Williams | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Colin Snow | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 27.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.