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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+7.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+7.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+5.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34+4.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+4.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+1.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89-1.66vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.23+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.18-0.34vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.46+4.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.05-2.55vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.05+2.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.23-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-7.31vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.21-6.63vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-3.98vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.16-8.68vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.41-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Northeastern University1.265.9%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University1.015.2%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.256.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University1.345.7%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.1012.8%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University0.934.5%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.436.7%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8910.8%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University0.233.2%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.184.9%1st Place
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15.44Bentley University-0.461.4%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College0.055.1%1st Place
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15.2Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University1.234.5%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island1.616.9%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University1.215.0%1st Place
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13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.463.2%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
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12.72Maine Maritime Academy0.412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Grant Adam | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Jack Flores | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Edward Gary | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 34.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 28.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Miles Williams | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Poirier | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 10.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.