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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.89+4.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+5.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+3.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.23+4.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+2.17vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.18+1.79vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-0.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16-0.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-1.54vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.46+2.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.21-4.63vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.01-5.02vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.23-3.85vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-7.96vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-5.30vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.75-0.39vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-0.05-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Harvard University2.1012.4%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8910.8%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.347.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.618.3%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University1.234.9%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University1.437.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College0.054.3%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island1.184.0%1st Place
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8.9Northeastern University1.266.9%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.165.9%1st Place
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13.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.462.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University0.934.7%1st Place
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15.91Bentley University-0.460.6%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University1.214.5%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.013.6%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University0.232.6%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.9%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy0.412.6%1st Place
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18.61Wesleyan University-1.750.2%1st Place
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15.06Olin College of Engineering-0.051.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Edward Gary | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 25.0% | 14.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Broadus | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 66.2% |
| Colin Snow | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.