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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+4.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.03+5.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.03+4.05vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.70+4.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.35+0.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66+2.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.06-0.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+0.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.68+4.41vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-3.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.84vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01-4.99vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.50-4.05vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University-0.04-2.74vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.22-4.67vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.88-1.88vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.11-2.18vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University-0.83-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7714.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island1.389.8%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island1.035.5%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University1.037.3%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University0.703.7%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University1.359.8%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University0.664.8%1st Place
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7.61Brown University1.067.8%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University0.513.7%1st Place
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14.41Salve Regina University-0.681.7%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University1.077.7%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.5%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.016.7%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College0.504.0%1st Place
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12.26Roger Williams University-0.042.5%1st Place
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11.33Olin College of Engineering0.222.9%1st Place
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15.12Bentley University-0.881.0%1st Place
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15.82Maine Maritime Academy-1.110.8%1st Place
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14.94Northeastern University-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Nevel | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Kitay | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 22.7% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 31.9% |
| Julia Beck | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.