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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.79+8.15vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.76vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39+4.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20-0.66vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+0.02vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-3.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+1.82vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.35+2.30vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-4.33vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.11-2.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-5.44vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-4.73vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.69vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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7.23Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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14.3Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.67Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.27Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.27Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.31Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel DelBello | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Mary Hall | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Post | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| John Shanahan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Austin Powers | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.