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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+8.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.03+6.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+2.60vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University-0.04+7.28vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+1.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01+0.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+1.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.70-0.40vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.06-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.38-5.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.03-4.89vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.77vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.88-0.05vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.68-1.31vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College0.50-6.89vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.83-3.11vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-1.11-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Tufts University0.664.7%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University1.036.3%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7714.6%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University1.359.7%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University-0.042.5%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University1.078.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.5%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.016.7%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.514.2%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University0.704.8%1st Place
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7.82Brown University1.066.3%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island1.3810.9%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island1.036.5%1st Place
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11.23Olin College of Engineering0.223.2%1st Place
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14.95Bentley University-0.880.9%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University-0.681.1%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College0.503.5%1st Place
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14.89Northeastern University-0.830.8%1st Place
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15.79Maine Maritime Academy-1.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Miller | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.