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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.58vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.84+6.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+3.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87+6.98vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.91vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+0.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+3.59vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39+0.43vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-4.03vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-6.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.79-5.54vs Predicted
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15Penn State University1.35-1.17vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-1.45vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.79Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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4.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.98SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.76Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.64Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.46George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.83Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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10.76Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Alex Post | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Skord | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Elliott Morrill | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| John Shanahan | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| Rory Mess | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 41.9% |
| Austin Powers | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.