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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.07+6.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.06+5.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University0.70+6.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.66+5.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.03+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.03+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38-0.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.64vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-1.11+6.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.35-4.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01-3.86vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University-0.04-0.67vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.88+1.21vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.51-5.91vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College0.50-7.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.83-3.05vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-0.68-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Northeastern University1.077.7%1st Place
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7.81Brown University1.066.6%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University0.705.1%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University0.665.2%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University1.036.7%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island1.036.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island1.3810.0%1st Place
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5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7712.6%1st Place
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15.76Maine Maritime Academy-1.110.9%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.8%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University1.359.5%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.016.8%1st Place
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12.33Roger Williams University-0.042.5%1st Place
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15.21Bentley University-0.881.0%1st Place
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11.15Olin College of Engineering0.223.5%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University0.513.9%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College0.503.6%1st Place
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14.95Northeastern University-0.831.6%1st Place
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14.63Salve Regina University-0.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Miller | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 30.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 22.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Julia Beck | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.