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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.22+10.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+7.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.35+3.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.70+5.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+1.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.03-0.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University-0.04+3.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.51+0.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-1.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.03-3.97vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-5.50vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.50-3.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.68-0.40vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.01-7.95vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.83-1.89vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.11-2.28vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.88-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.21Olin College of Engineering0.223.4%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.723.9%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.3510.1%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University0.705.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island1.3810.0%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7714.9%1st Place
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7.78Brown University1.067.1%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University1.037.0%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University-0.041.9%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University0.513.3%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University0.665.4%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island1.036.6%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.078.6%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College0.504.0%1st Place
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14.6Salve Regina University-0.681.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.015.4%1st Place
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15.11Northeastern University-0.830.5%1st Place
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15.72Maine Maritime Academy-1.110.8%1st Place
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15.12Bentley University-0.881.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Nevel | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Izaiah Farr | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Miller | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| Jemma Schroder | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 29.8% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.